Technological change and stable deterrence
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 9, Heft 3, S. 309-317
ISSN: 1552-8766
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In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 9, Heft 3, S. 309-317
ISSN: 1552-8766
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 9, Heft 3, S. 309-317
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
A discussion of the argument that changes in military technology are destablizing, which attempts to prove theoretically that this effect is not likely or, at least, not necessary. The concept of stabilized deterrence is defined & the military & technological aspects are considered, followed by an examination of some pol'al considerations. It is concluded that technology itself is subject to characteristic patterns of development, involving a cycle of concept-development-approval-deployment which can be exploited to minimize destablizing effects. Because of the long delays & the opportunities for countermeasures, there is a very good chance that appropriate & timely adjustments can be made. Quite revolutionary changes in weaponry & strategic concepts may occur without an unstable transition. The effects of technological change are great, but they can be controlled. M. Maxfield.